Climate

Climate Change - What's Happening and Why It Matters

On 20 May 2026 the Climate Change Committee's report 'A Well Adapted UK' found the UK unprepared for the increasing impacts of climate change. Almost 20 years after the Climate Change Act, UK emissions are down 42% - but the climate keeps changing.

The UK's Position

The Climate Change Committee (CCC) is unambiguous: increasing heat, drought and flooding will damage homes, public services and infrastructure, and urgent action is needed to avoid disasters.

  • Increasing heat, drought and flooding
  • Damage to homes, public services and critical infrastructure
  • Urgent adaptation and mitigation action recommended

Climate change is already wreaking havoc elsewhere

In some parts of the world, climate change is already displacing people from the Equatorial zone, the tropical zones around Cancer and Capricorn, and the Desert zone - through floods and wildfires.

World map showing the equatorial, tropical, desert, temperate and arctic / polar climate zones.
World climate zones - equatorial, tropical, desert, temperate, and arctic / polar.

What climate change means for people globally

Death from heat exhaustion
Starvation from loss of natural food sources
Flooding and drowning
Disease from new viral infections
Lack of sanitation and fresh water
Drought and flood damage to crops - rising food prices
Property damage and destruction
Economic collapse and societal conflict
Displacement of populations - increased pressure on the UK from climate migrants

Global Warming - The Numbers

+1.4°C

Global average warming above pre-industrial levels today

+1.5°C

Projected to be reached by 2030

+2°C

UK pathway by 2050 under current policies

+4°C

UK pathway by 2100 under current policies

What the warming levels mean

  1. +1.5°C

    Increased flooding, heatwaves and biodiversity loss globally.

  2. +2°C

    Polar ice sheets begin to collapse. Equatorial regions become uninhabitable. Heatwaves, wildfires and flooding intensify worldwide.

  3. +3°C

    Most of southern Europe in permanent drought. Wildfires become the new normal in Mediterranean countries.

  4. +4°C

    What would this mean for the UK and the world? A question worth sitting with.

As the Earth warms, polar ice caps melt and sea levels rise. Oceans warm and marine ecosystems collapse. Seas become more acidic, which impacts their ability to absorb and lock up carbon - accelerating global warming further.

UK-specific projections

The graphics below, sourced from the Climate Change Committee, illustrate both the historical record and future projections for the UK under different emissions scenarios.

CCC Figure 1: global warming under different emissions scenarios from 1970 to 2100.
Figure 1 - Global warming under different emissions scenarios. Source: CCC, A Well Adapted UK, May 2026.
CCC Figure 1.2: change in UK annual average temperature and maximum daily temperatures.
Figure 1.2 - Change in UK annual average temperature (top) and annual average of maximum daily temperatures (bottom).

A 3.2°C market: where corporate targets are heading

The June 2026 CDP and WWF Temperature Market Report measured the climate targets of every company in the Bloomberg World Large & Mid Cap Index. The verdict is stark.

3.2°C

The warming pathway implied by current corporate climate targets globally - more than double the Paris 1.5°C goal.

2.9°C

Even when you only count companies that have set a climate target, the score barely moves. Having a target is not the same as having an ambitious one.

>3.2°C

Scope 3 (supply chain and product use) emissions targets are the single largest source of misalignment - across every region and every sector.

3.4°C

The default score given to any company with no credible climate target at all - a business-as-usual pathway by 2100.

World map showing mid-term Scope 1+2+3 temperature scores by country, with most major economies coloured in the 2.5°C to 3.5°C band.
Mid-term Scope 1+2+3 temperature scores by country. Source: CDP / WWF / SBTi / Bloomberg, June 2026.

Long-term net-zero promises don't change the picture. Short, mid and long-term scores all sit above 3°C. The gap between ambition and action is the story of the next decade.

Download the full CDP/WWF report (PDF)

The science is clear. But so is the opportunity. A little change by a lot of people adds up to a significant contribution. That's why A Ride For Life exists.